A comparison

Founder effect vs bottleneck effect

Both are genetic drift in a population briefly reduced to a few individuals; the difference is what happens to everyone else.

3 min read · 4 interactive figures

Press Crash: one generation has only four beetles, and the population regrows from their eight gene copies. Read it as a bottleneck (the same population crashed) or as a founding (four beetles started a new one): the genetics are identical.
On this page
  1. The two side by side
  2. The founder effect: a boatload is a small sample
  3. The bottleneck effect: diversity lost is not regained
  4. After either event: drift keeps going

The founder effect happens when a few individuals leave a large population and start a new one. The bottleneck effect happens when a population itself crashes to a few individuals and then recovers. Genetically they are the same event: the next generation descends from a small random sample of gene copies, so rare variants are usually lost, a few become common by accident, and diversity falls. The difference is the story around the sample. After a founding, the source population is still there, unchanged; after a bottleneck, there is no one else[1]. Both are forms of genetic drift.

The two side by side

Founder effectBottleneck effect
What happensA few individuals start a new population elsewhereAn existing population crashes to a few, then recovers
The source populationStill exists, with its variation intactIs the population: there is no source left
Genetic causeRandom sampling of a few gene copies: Binomial(2n, p) copies of an allele at frequency p
Typical resultRare alleles lost; some made common by chance; heterozygosity reduced
Can the variation return?Yes, by migration from the sourceOnly by mutation, or migration from elsewhere if any exists
Classic exampleEllis–van Creveld syndrome in one Amish communityNorthern elephant seals; Pingelap

The founder effect: a boatload is a small sample

If n founders leave a population where an allele has frequency p, the number of copies they carry is Binomial(2n, p). With ten founders and an allele at 1 %, the chance they carry none is 0.9920 ≈ 82 %; but in most of the remaining boatloads the allele starts at 5 %, five times its source frequency. Ellis–van Creveld syndrome, common in a single Amish community and rare elsewhere, is the textbook case[2][3]. documented

Figure 1 Founders drawn from a large population. Set the number of founders and the allele’s source frequency; the bars are the exact chance of each founder frequency, the dashed line is the source. It opens with ten founders and an allele at 1 %: most boatloads carry none, and the rest carry it at five times the source frequency or more.#

The bottleneck effect: diversity lost is not regained

A bottleneck applies the same sampling to the whole population, often for several generations. Each generation at size N removes a fraction 1/2N of the heterozygosity, so a few generations at a handful of individuals cost more than centuries at a thousand, and recovery in numbers does not restore what was lost[1]. Northern elephant seals, reduced to perhaps 20 animals by 1892, kept about one eighth of their genetic variation through a more than ten-thousandfold recovery[4]. On Pingelap a typhoon is thought to have left a few survivors, at least one carrying the allele for complete achromatopsia, which is now common there[5][6]. reconstructed

Figure 2 A population of N₀ crashes to Nb for a few generations, then recovers. Drag the size during the crash in the top panel, or use the sliders. Notice that heterozygosity falls in the crash and stays down after the population recovers.#

After either event: drift keeps going

A new population of a few dozen keeps drifting strongly for generations, whether it was founded or crashed. That can push a lucky allele further up or remove it altogether. The figure below follows thirty such populations.

Figure 3 Thirty populations of ten individuals, each starting with a rare allele at 10 %, as after a founding or a crash. Run them. Most lose the allele within a few dozen generations; a few carry it to high frequency or fixation. Raise N to see larger groups hold steady.#

The longer treatment, with the equations and both case studies in full, is Chapter 4. For more cases of drift, see examples of genetic drift.